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Apodaca vs CF Orgullo Reynosa Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Apodaca Logo

Apodaca

2 - 0
FT
CF Orgullo Reynosa Logo

CF Orgullo Reynosa

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Ramirez J. S.
66' Event
Banda E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 game between Apodaca and CF Orgullo Reynosa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apodaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Apodaca
30%
Draws
39%
CF Orgullo Reynosa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CF Orgullo Reynosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Apodaca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Apodaca Clean Sheet 23%
CF Orgullo Reynosa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apodaca CF Orgullo Reynosa
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.58 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs CF Orgullo Reynosa
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
CF Orgullo Reynosa vs Apodaca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apodaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez J. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banda E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

CF Orgullo Reynosa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apodaca 37 / 100
CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apodaca CF Orgullo Reynosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Orgullo Reynosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Apodaca scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

CF Orgullo Reynosa has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Apodaca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Apodaca VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apodaca

(Home)
27 Sept
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
3 : 1
Apodaca
20 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1
Apodaca
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
30 Aug
Mineros de Fresnillo
0 : 0
Apodaca
Page 1 of 7

CF Orgullo Reynosa

(Away)
05 May
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 1
CF Orgullo Reynosa
02 May
CF Orgullo Reynosa
0 : 1
Gavilanes de Matamoros
26 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 2
CF Orgullo Reynosa
20 Apr
CF Orgullo Reynosa
1 : 1
Gavilanes de Matamoros
06 Apr
UA Zacatecas
3 : 2
CF Orgullo Reynosa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)