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Apodaca vs Deportiva Venados Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Apodaca Logo

Apodaca

2 - 4
FT
Deportiva Venados Logo

Deportiva Venados

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
4' Event
7' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Deportiva Venados advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Apodaca
35%
Draws
39%
Deportiva Venados
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportiva Venados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Deportiva Venados's 2.23 goals per match outpaces what Apodaca have produced (1.59).
  • Model gives Deportiva Venados a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportiva Venados, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Apodaca Clean Sheet 15%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apodaca Deportiva Venados
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.59 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Deportiva Venados
2:4
Apr 30, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Apodaca
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apodaca 27 / 100
Deportiva Venados 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apodaca Deportiva Venados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportiva Venados Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apodaca found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Deportiva Venados let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Apodaca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apodaca VS Deportiva Venados
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apodaca

(Home)
27 Sept
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
3 : 1
Apodaca
20 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1
Apodaca
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
30 Aug
Mineros de Fresnillo
0 : 0
Apodaca
Page 1 of 6

Deportiva Venados

(Away)
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3
Celaya
19 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
3 : 3
Deportiva Venados
12 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 0
Jaguares De Chiapas
30 Aug
Montaneses
1 : 1
Deportiva Venados
10 May
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 0
Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Racing de Veracruz -
TBD -
Tigres de Alica 2
Halcones de Zapopan 3
Alacranes de Durango -
TBD -
FC Santiago 3
Zacatepec 4
Deportiva Venados 3
Calor De San Pedro 1
Tapachula 1
Tritones Vallarta 2
Apodaca -
TBD -
Tecos 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen 2
Quarter-finals
Racing de Veracruz 0
Halcones de Zapopan 2
Alacranes de Durango 3
Zacatepec 3
Deportiva Venados 2
Tritones Vallarta 1
Apodaca 3
Inter Playa Del Carmen 1
Semi-finals
Halcones de Zapopan 1
Alacranes de Durango 2
Deportiva Venados 5
Apodaca 3
Final
Alacranes de Durango 1
Deportiva Venados 2