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Apodaca vs Guerreros de Autlan Prediction & H2H Stats

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Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Trevino S.
61' Event
Cardenas S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Apodaca and Guerreros de Autlan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apodaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Apodaca
15%
Draws
36%
Guerreros de Autlan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Apodaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Apodaca come out ahead of Guerreros de Autlan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Apodaca's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Apodaca Clean Sheet 20%
Guerreros de Autlan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apodaca Guerreros de Autlan
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.65 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Guerreros de Autlan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apodaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Trevino S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cardenas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Guerreros de Autlan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apodaca 58 / 100
Guerreros de Autlan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apodaca Guerreros de Autlan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apodaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apodaca's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Guerreros de Autlan has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Guerreros de Autlan's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Apodaca VS Guerreros de Autlan
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apodaca

(Home)
20 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1
Apodaca
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3
Saltillo
30 Aug
Mineros de Fresnillo
0 : 0
Apodaca
03 May
Apodaca
2 : 4
Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 7

Guerreros de Autlan

(Away)
20 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
13 Sept
Guerreros de Autlan
2 : 1
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
06 Sept
Guerreros de Autlan
3 : 4
Vaqueros
29 Aug
Zapotlanejo
3 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
12 Apr
Reboceros de La Piedad
3 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 5 4 0 1 14:5 13
2 Zapotlanejo 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
3 Vaqueros 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
4 Mineros de Fresnillo 5 2 2 1 5:2 8
5 Saltillo Soccer F.C. 5 3 0 2 9:12 8
6 FC Santiago 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
7 Guerreros de Autlan 5 2 0 3 8:10 6
8 Apodaca 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
9 Heroes de Zaci 4 0 1 3 3:8 2
10 Correcaminos 2 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 5 5 0 0 13:4 16
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 5 3 1 1 11:5 12
3 Acambaro 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
4 Halcones Negros 5 2 1 2 12:4 7
5 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
6 Real Refineros 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
7 Guerreros del Pacifico 4 2 0 2 4:4 7
8 Calor De San Pedro 4 1 1 2 4:10 5
9 Ciervos 5 1 0 4 3:14 2
10 Canoneros FC 5 0 0 5 1:16 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)