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Apodaca vs Halcones de Zapopan

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
81' Event
84' Event

AI Match Summary

Apodaca in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apodaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Apodaca
35%
Draws
32%
Halcones de Zapopan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Halcones de Zapopan haven't matched Apodaca's recent run of results.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Apodaca have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Apodaca Clean Sheet 19%
Halcones de Zapopan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apodaca Halcones de Zapopan
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 23 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Halcones de Zapopan
3:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones de Zapopan vs Apodaca
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones de Zapopan vs Apodaca
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Halcones de Zapopan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apodaca 36 / 100
Halcones de Zapopan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apodaca Halcones de Zapopan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halcones de Zapopan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apodaca's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Apodaca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Halcones de Zapopan let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Apodaca VS Halcones de Zapopan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apodaca

(Home)
03 May
Apodaca
2 : 4
Deportiva Venados
30 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 1
Apodaca
26 Apr
Apodaca
3 : 1
Inter Playa Del Carmen
23 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Apodaca
11 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 0
Apodaca
Page 1 of 7

Halcones de Zapopan

(Away)
03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
25 Apr
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 2
Halcones de Zapopan
22 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0
Racing de Veracruz
19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)