Sport Picks
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Highmark Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA 
Match Events
27'
27'
Schneider M.
57'
57'
Sub
Micaletto M. In: Becker P.
Out: Micaletto M.
63'
63'
Amann T.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Tampa Bay finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tampa Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Tampa Bay carry the better recent record into this one.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 21%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 32 / 100
Tampa Bay 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Tampa Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tampa Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pittsburgh Riverhounds scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tampa Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Pittsburgh Riverhounds VS Tampa Bay
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(Home) 27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
06 Sept
Miami FC
2 : 2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
15 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Charleston
08 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0 Sacramento Republic
29 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 1 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 3
Tampa Bay
(Away) 03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2 Miami FC
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
05 Sept
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
22 Aug
Detroit City
1 : 0 Tampa Bay
09 Aug
Orange County SC
0 : 3 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
