Sport Picks

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Apodaca vs Saltillo

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Salvador Medina Lara I.
45' Event
Mariscal K.
77' Event
Salvador Medina Lara I.

AI Match Summary

Saltillo in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saltillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Apodaca
15%
Draws
59%
Saltillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saltillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Apodaca have won more games recently than Saltillo.
  • Model gives Apodaca a 26% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Apodaca Clean Sheet 20%
Saltillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apodaca Saltillo
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Saltillo
2:3
Mar 3, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Apodaca
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Saltillo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apodaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariscal K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ponce Castillo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Saltillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvador Medina Lara I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ismael Moran Ceballos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apodaca 58 / 100
Saltillo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apodaca Saltillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apodaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apodaca's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Saltillo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Apodaca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apodaca VS Saltillo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.67
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Apodaca

(Home)
20 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1
Apodaca
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3
Saltillo
30 Aug
Mineros de Fresnillo
0 : 0
Apodaca
03 May
Apodaca
2 : 4
Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 7

Saltillo

(Away)
26 Sept
Saltillo
3 : 2
Heroes de Zaci
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1
Saltillo
12 Sept
Saltillo
2 : 0
Correcaminos 2
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3
Saltillo
29 Aug
Saltillo
1 : 4
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 4 3 0 1 11:4 10
2 Zapotlanejo 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
3 Mineros de Fresnillo 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
4 Saltillo 5 3 0 2 9:12 8
5 Vaqueros 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
6 FC Santiago 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
7 Apodaca 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
8 Guerreros de Autlan 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
9 Correcaminos 2 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
10 Heroes de Zaci 4 0 1 3 3:8 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 4 4 0 0 10:2 13
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 4 3 1 0 8:2 11
3 Acambaro 4 3 1 0 12:2 10
4 Real Refineros 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
5 Guerreros del Pacifico 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
6 Calor De San Pedro 3 1 1 1 4:3 5
7 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 4 1 1 2 5:5 5
8 Halcones Negros 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
9 Ciervos 5 1 0 4 3:14 2
10 Canoneros FC 5 0 0 5 1:16 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)