Sport Picks
APOEL vs Aris Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Cyprus
Cyprus League GSP Stadium, Nicosia 
AI Match Summary
APOEL host Aris Limassol in the Cyprus League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: APOEL at 1.66 goals for, 1.69 against; Aris Limassol at 1.66 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, APOEL have won 4 to Aris Limassol's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.63, favoring APOEL. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- APOEL and Aris Limassol have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- APOEL have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | APOEL | Aris Limassol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
APOEL went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
APOEL found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Aris Limassol conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
APOEL
(Home)Aris Limassol
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Apollon Limassol | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19:8 | 15 |
| 3 | AEL Limassol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Omonia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Pafos | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 6 | Aris Limassol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 7 | APOEL | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Omonia 29th May | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Anorthosis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | 6 |
| 10 | Ol. Nicosia | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11:12 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Nea Salamis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 5 |
| 13 | Krasava | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 4 |
| 14 | Karmiotissa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:16 | 3 |
