Sport Picks

Stadium Background

APOEL vs Pafos

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 GSP Stadium, Nicosia
APOEL Logo

APOEL

3 - 3
FT
Pafos Logo

Pafos

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Drazic S.
17' Event
Ioannou N.
28' Event
Drazic S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
APOEL
30%
Draws
47%
Pafos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pafos have won more games recently than APOEL.
  • APOEL are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
APOEL Clean Sheet 10%
Pafos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APOEL Pafos
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.73 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs APOEL
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Pafos
3:3
Feb 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs APOEL
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Pafos
0:1
May 12, 2025 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Pafos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APOEL Compare

Top Goalscorer Drazic S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Olayinka P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer Luckassen D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ioannou N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APOEL 40 / 100
Pafos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APOEL Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: APOEL scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: APOEL stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Pafos let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

APOEL VS Pafos
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

APOEL

(Home)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1
APOEL
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
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Pafos

(Away)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)