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Apollon Kalamaria vs Karditsa Prediction & H2H Stats

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Super League 2
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Match Events

9' Event
Acka D.

AI Match Summary

Apollon Kalamaria in this Super League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apollon Kalamaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Apollon Kalamaria
30%
Draws
23%
Karditsa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apollon Kalamaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Apollon Kalamaria have won more games recently than Karditsa.
  • Apollon Kalamaria are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Apollon Kalamaria Clean Sheet 68%
Karditsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Kalamaria Karditsa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1
Goals Conceded 0.55 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Super League 2
Apollon Kalamaria vs Karditsa
1:0
Mar 4, 2024 Super League 2
Karditsa vs Apollon Kalamaria
4:1
Dec 3, 2023 Super League 2
Apollon Kalamaria vs Karditsa
2:1
Jun 17, 2023 Super League 2
Apollon Kalamaria vs Karditsa
1:0
Mar 19, 2023 Super League 2
Karditsa vs Apollon Kalamaria
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apollon Kalamaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Acka D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Karditsa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalamaria 68 / 100
Karditsa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Kalamaria Karditsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Kalamaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Kalamaria's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Karditsa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Karditsa has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalamaria VS Karditsa
1.63 Goals Scored 0.17
1 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Kalamaria

(Home)
27 Sept
Apollon Kalamaria
1 : 0
Karditsa
20 Sept
Asteras Tripolis B
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
14 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
19 Aug
Chrisoupolis
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
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Karditsa

(Away)
27 Sept
Apollon Kalamaria
1 : 0
Karditsa
19 Sept
Karditsa
0 : 0
Panionios
13 Sept
Ellas Syrou
3 : 0
Karditsa
06 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Karditsa
17 Aug
Karditsa
0 : 2
Aris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 AEL Larissa 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Panionios 4 3 1 0 4:0 10
4 Athens Kallithea 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
5 Ellas Syrou 4 2 2 0 9:3 8
6 Panthrakikos 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
7 Panserraikos 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
8 Apollon Kalamaria 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
9 Niki Volos 5 1 1 3 6:7 4
10 Chrisoupolis 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 PAOK B 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
12 Olympiacos Piraeus B 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
13 Asteras Tripolis B 4 1 0 3 1:5 3
14 Karditsa 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
15 Pyrgos 4 0 2 2 0:5 2
16 Zakynthos 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
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