Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

Philippos Alexandreia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Apollon Kalamaria play Philippos Alexandreia in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2. Apollon Kalamaria are favorites here. Recently, Apollon Kalamaria averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.43 conceded. Philippos Alexandreia averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Apollon Kalamaria won 3, Philippos Alexandreia won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.65 for Apollon Kalamaria and 0.56 for Philippos Alexandreia. This points to a Apollon Kalamaria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Apollon Kalamaria

15%

Draws

26%

Philippos Alexandreia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Apollon Kalamaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Apollon Kalamaria picked up more points recently compared to Philippos Alexandreia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.65 vs 0.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%

Apollon Kalamaria Clean Sheet 30%

Philippos Alexandreia Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Apollon Kalamaria	Philippos Alexandreia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	24	12
Draws	4	5
Losses	2	13
Goals Scored	2.07	1.27
Goals Conceded	0.43	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.13	1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

Philippos Alexandreia vs Apollon Kalamaria

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Feb 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

Philippos Alexandreia vs Apollon Kalamaria

Possession: 60% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

0:4

Nov 9, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

Apollon Kalamaria vs Philippos Alexandreia

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalamaria 59 / 100

Philippos Alexandreia 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Apollon Kalamaria Philippos Alexandreia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Kalamaria Win (1)

Secondary Pick Apollon Kalamaria & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.6%

1.96

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Apollon Kalamaria attacking → ← attacking Philippos Alexandreia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Kalamaria scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Philippos Alexandreia let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Apollon Kalamaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Philippos Alexandreia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

76 Points in last 5 41

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.43

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apollon Kalamaria	22	17	4	1	47:6	55
2	Ethnikos Neou	22	14	6	2	49:24	48
3	Veria	22	12	4	6	32:19	40
4	Ermis Exochis	22	10	5	7	36:30	35
5	Pierikos	22	9	3	10	22:23	30
6	Philippos Alexandreia	22	8	5	9	26:31	29
7	Akrites Sykeon	22	8	5	9	29:24	29
8	Eordaikos	22	8	4	10	25:27	28
9	Kozani FC	22	6	8	8	17:22	26
10	Sarakinos Volos	22	8	2	12	27:38	26
11	Asteras Karditsa	22	5	6	11	28:43	21
12	Evosmou	22	0	2	20	13:64	2