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Apollon Kalamaria vs Pyrgos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Kalamaria host Pyrgos in the Super League 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Apollon Kalamaria have averaged 1.66 scored and 0.55 conceded recently, against Pyrgos's 1.66 scored and 0.83 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.38 - 0.69) back Apollon Kalamaria to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Apollon Kalamaria
35%
Draws
32%
Pyrgos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Pyrgos haven't matched Apollon Kalamaria's recent run of results.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Apollon Kalamaria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Apollon Kalamaria Clean Sheet 68%
Pyrgos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Kalamaria Pyrgos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.55 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalamaria 50 / 100
Pyrgos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Kalamaria Pyrgos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Kalamaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Kalamaria found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Apollon Kalamaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pyrgos let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Pyrgos's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalamaria VS Pyrgos
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Kalamaria

(Home)
05 Oct
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Apollon Kalamaria
27 Sept
Apollon Kalamaria
1 : 0
Karditsa
20 Sept
Asteras Tripolis B
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
14 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
Page 1 of 6

Pyrgos

(Away)
04 Oct
Pyrgos
2 : 0
Panionios
27 Sept
Ellas Syrou
0 : 0
Pyrgos
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Chrisoupolis
1 : 0
Pyrgos
05 Sept
Panthrakikos
0 : 0
Pyrgos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 5 5 0 0 11:5 15
2 AEL Larissa 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Panionios 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
4 Ellas Syrou 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
5 Athens Kallithea 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
6 Panthrakikos 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
7 Panserraikos 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
8 Asteras Tripolis B 5 2 0 3 3:5 6
9 Apollon Kalamaria 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
10 PAOK B 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
11 Pyrgos 5 1 2 2 2:5 5
12 Niki Volos 5 1 1 3 6:7 4
13 Olympiacos Piraeus B 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
14 Chrisoupolis 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
15 Zakynthos 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Karditsa 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
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