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Apollon Kalythion vs Apollon Smyrnis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Kalythion host Apollon Smyrnis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8. This one's hard to separate. Apollon Kalythion have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Apollon Smyrnis's 1.38 scored and 0.94 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.35 - 1.19) back Apollon Smyrnis to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Apollon Kalythion
15%
Draws
59%
Apollon Smyrnis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Apollon Smyrnis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Apollon Smyrnis have won more games recently than Apollon Kalythion.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Apollon Smyrnis taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Apollon Kalythion Clean Sheet 20%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Kalythion Apollon Smyrnis
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalythion 12 / 100
Apollon Smyrnis 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Kalythion Apollon Smyrnis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Smyrnis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Apollon Kalythion scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Apollon Smyrnis let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Apollon Kalythion went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Apollon Smyrnis's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalythion VS Apollon Smyrnis
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Kalythion

(Home)
04 Oct
Doxa Vyronas
1 : 0
Apollon Kalythion
27 Sept
PAE Egaleo
4 : 1
Apollon Kalythion
08 Apr
Nea Ionia
4 : 2
Apollon Kalythion
05 Apr
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Apr
Doxa Vyronas
0 : 0
Apollon Kalythion
Page 1 of 6

Apollon Smyrnis

(Away)
04 Oct
Apollon Smyrnis
1 : 0
AO Proodeftiki
27 Sept
Diagoras FC
0 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Ethnikos Piraeus
3 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAE Egaleo 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Apollon Smyrnis 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Doxa Vyronas 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Amfiali 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Afantou 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Ionikos 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
8 Diagoras FC 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
9 PAO Rouf 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
10 Ialysos 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
11 AO Proodeftiki 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
12 Apollon Kalythion 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Losers stage)