Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

Apollon Kalythion

3 - 2

Diagoras FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 game between Apollon Kalythion and Diagoras FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apollon Kalythion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Apollon Kalythion

30%

Draws

34%

Diagoras FC

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apollon Kalythion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Diagoras FC carry the better recent record into this one.
Apollon Kalythion are the model's pick here, at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Apollon Kalythion Clean Sheet 20%

Diagoras FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Apollon Kalythion	Diagoras FC
Matches Played	26	30
Wins	10	12
Draws	6	11
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

Apollon Kalythion vs Diagoras FC

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Nov 2, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

Diagoras FC vs Apollon Kalythion

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalythion 36 / 100

Diagoras FC 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Apollon Kalythion Diagoras FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Apollon Kalythion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Apollon Kalythion's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Diagoras FC has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalythion VS Diagoras FC

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aris Petroupolis	22	15	6	1	36:11	51
2	Nea Artaki	22	13	8	1	26:8	47
3	Diagoras FC	22	9	8	5	28:15	35
4	AO Karystou	22	9	8	5	22:12	35
5	Afantou	22	9	5	8	25:24	32
6	Asteras Kaisarianis	22	9	5	8	32:26	32
7	Nea Ionia	22	9	4	9	23:23	31
8	Doxa Vyronas	22	8	7	7	32:21	31
9	Apollon Kalythion	22	9	4	9	32:31	31
10	Kentavros Vrilission	22	8	3	11	27:30	27
11	Amarynthiakos	22	4	2	16	20:36	14
12	Rodos	22	0	0	22	0:66	0