Sport Picks
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou
Cyprus
Cyprus Cup Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi 
Match Events
14'
14'
Marques P.
19'
19'
Marques P.
32'
32'
Polykarpou P.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Apollon Limassol advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Apollon Limassol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Apollon Limassol come out ahead of Omonia Aradippou on wins alone.
- Model gives Apollon Limassol a 70% chance of winning this.
- Apollon Limassol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Apollon Limassol, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Apollon Limassol here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 68%
Omonia Aradippou Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Apollon Limassol | Omonia Aradippou |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 4, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou
3:2
Jan 30, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs Apollon Limassol
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Apollon Limassol Compare
Top Goalscorer Marques P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Thomas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Omonia Aradippou Compare
Top Goalscorer Polykarpou P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lomonaco S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Apollon Limassol 77 / 100
Omonia Aradippou 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Apollon Limassol Omonia Aradippou
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick APL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Apollon Limassol scored in 80% of their last 35 games.
Omonia Aradippou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Apollon Limassol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Apollon Limassol VS Omonia Aradippou
1.88 Goals Scored 1.17
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Apollon Limassol
(Home) 23 Jul
Dila Gori
0 : 4 Apollon Limassol
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0 AEK Larnaca
11 Jul
G.A. Eagles
0 : 3 Apollon Limassol
07 Jul
Utrecht
0 : 1 Apollon Limassol
29 May
Apollon Limassol
0 : 2 Pafos
Page 1 of 7
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0 AEK Larnaca
29 May
Apollon Limassol
0 : 2 Pafos
16 May
Apollon Limassol
3 : 2 Aris Limassol
10 May
Apollon Limassol
2 : 0 APOEL
03 May
Apollon Limassol
2 : 1 Pafos
Page 1 of 4
Omonia Aradippou
(Away) 15 May
Achnas
1 : 2 Omonia Aradippou
09 May
Omonia Aradippou
2 : 1 Akritas Chloraka
01 May
Ol. Nicosia
2 : 1 Omonia Aradippou
25 Apr
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1 Krasava
19 Apr
Anorthosis
1 : 1 Omonia Aradippou
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Achnas
1 : 2 Omonia Aradippou
01 May
Ol. Nicosia
2 : 1 Omonia Aradippou
19 Apr
Anorthosis
1 : 1 Omonia Aradippou
14 Mar
AEL Limassol
1 : 2 Omonia Aradippou
28 Feb
Achnas
0 : 1 Omonia Aradippou
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou1
Apollon Limassol5
Karmiotissa1
Anorthosis3
ASIL Lysi0
Ol. Nicosia2
Omonia Aradippou4
Ayia Napa0
APOEL5
AEZ Zakakiou0
Achyronas-Onisilos0
Apea Akrotiriou2
Kitiou0
Achnas4
Paralimni2
Halkanoras0
Omonia-
TBD-
TBD-
AEK Larnaca-
Aris Limassol2
Omonia 29th May1
Ethnikos Latsion1
AEL Limassol2
Krasava1
Nea Salamis2
TBD-
Digenis Akritas-
Pafos-
TBD-
Akritas Chloraka5
Doxa2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol2
Anorthosis0
Ol. Nicosia3
Omonia Aradippou4
APOEL1
Apea Akrotiriou0
Achnas1
Paralimni2
Omonia2
AEK Larnaca1
Aris Limassol0
AEL Limassol1
Nea Salamis2
Digenis Akritas3
Pafos2
Akritas Chloraka1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol3
Omonia Aradippou2
APOEL3
Paralimni2
Omonia1
AEL Limassol2
Digenis Akritas0
Pafos3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol4
APOEL2
AEL Limassol2
Pafos5
Final
Apollon Limassol0
Pafos2