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Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Miramon J. In: Ekpolo G.
Out: Miramon J.
59'
Sub
Assuncao G. In: Duodu C.
Out: Assuncao G.
59'
Sub
Malekkidis G. In: Balogiannis K.
Out: Malekkidis G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Apollon Limassol and AEK Larnaca finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Apollon Limassol
30%
Draws
47%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Apollon Limassol's 1.62 goals per match outpaces what AEK Larnaca have produced (1.59).
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on AEK Larnaca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 10%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Limassol AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
0:0
May 6, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Limassol 22 / 100
AEK Larnaca 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Limassol AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Limassol's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AEK Larnaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Apollon Limassol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Limassol VS AEK Larnaca
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Limassol

(Home)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1
Anorthosis
29 Aug
Aris Limassol
2 : 2
Apollon Limassol
22 Aug
Nea Salamis
3 : 1
Apollon Limassol
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AEK Larnaca

(Away)
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
18 Sept
Omonia 29th May
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
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