Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sub
Saborit E. In: Ioannou P.
Out: Saborit E.
56' Event
Bajic R.
60'
Rohden M.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League game between Apollon Limassol and AEK Larnaca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Apollon Limassol
30%
Draws
34%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apollon Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Apollon Limassol come out ahead of AEK Larnaca on wins alone.
  • Model gives Apollon Limassol a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 14%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Limassol AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
0:0
May 6, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apollon Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajic R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Limassol 35 / 100
AEK Larnaca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Limassol AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Limassol found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: AEK Larnaca conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Apollon Limassol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Limassol VS AEK Larnaca
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Limassol

(Home)
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0
AEK Larnaca
11 Jul
G.A. Eagles
0 : 3
Apollon Limassol
07 Jul
Utrecht
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
29 May
Apollon Limassol
0 : 2
Pafos
22 May
Omonia
5 : 2
Apollon Limassol
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AEK Larnaca

(Away)
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0
AEK Larnaca
10 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
AEK Larnaca
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
Helmond Sport
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
22 May
Aris Limassol
3 : 4
AEK Larnaca
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omonia36276388:2487
2AEK Larnaca36209762:3369
3Apollon Limassol36207952:4167
4Pafos361881066:3862
5APOEL361571453:4552
6Aris Limassol361491361:4551
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)