Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apollon Limassol vs APOEL

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rodrigues G.
(Penalty)
12'
Sub
Assuncao G. In: Vrikkis A.
Out: Assuncao G.
27'
Dalcio

AI Match Summary

Apollon Limassol in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apollon Limassol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Apollon Limassol
20%
Draws
23%
APOEL
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apollon Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Apollon Limassol have won more games recently than APOEL.
  • Win probability leans Apollon Limassol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Apollon Limassol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 20%
APOEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Limassol APOEL
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
2:0
Apr 29, 2026 Cyprus Cup
APOEL vs Apollon Limassol
0:0
Apr 22, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
4:2
Apr 14, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Apollon Limassol
2:3
Jan 18, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apollon Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljubic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

APOEL Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Limassol 85 / 100
APOEL 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Limassol APOEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Limassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Limassol found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

APOEL has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Apollon Limassol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Limassol VS APOEL
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Limassol

(Home)
11 Aug
Apollon Limassol
2 : 4
Brann
05 Aug
Brann
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
28 Jul
Apollon Limassol
3 : 0
Dila Gori
23 Jul
Dila Gori
0 : 4
Apollon Limassol
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0
AEK Larnaca
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APOEL

(Away)
16 Aug
Anorthosis
1 : 3
APOEL
08 Aug
APOEL
2 : 2
Kifisia
31 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
APOEL
22 May
Pafos
2 : 0
APOEL
16 May
APOEL
0 : 3
Omonia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)