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Stadium Background

Apollon Limassol vs APOEL

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Rodrigues G.
13' Event
Stafylidis K.
18'
Angelopoulos G. N.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League game between Apollon Limassol and APOEL finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Apollon Limassol
35%
Draws
30%
APOEL
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Apollon Limassol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on APOEL taking it.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 15%
APOEL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Limassol APOEL
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 19 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
2:2
May 10, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
2:0
Apr 29, 2026 Cyprus Cup
APOEL vs Apollon Limassol
0:0
Apr 22, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
4:2
Apr 14, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Apollon Limassol
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apollon Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

APOEL Compare

Top Goalscorer Stafylidis K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedrozo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Limassol 19 / 100
APOEL 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Limassol APOEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APOEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Limassol's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

APOEL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Apollon Limassol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Limassol VS APOEL
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Limassol

(Home)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1
Anorthosis
29 Aug
Aris Limassol
2 : 2
Apollon Limassol
22 Aug
Nea Salamis
3 : 1
Apollon Limassol
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APOEL

(Away)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1
APOEL
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
2 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
3 Omonia 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
9 APOEL 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
12 Karmiotissa 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
13 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
14 Krasava 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)