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Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Limassol host Nea Salamis in the Cyprus League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Apollon Limassol have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Nea Salamis's 2.21 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Apollon Limassol have won 1 to Nea Salamis's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.56 - 2.25) back Nea Salamis to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Apollon Limassol
30%
Draws
35%
Nea Salamis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Nea Salamis at 2.21 per game, Apollon Limassol at 1.67.
  • Model gives Nea Salamis a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 10%
Nea Salamis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Limassol Nea Salamis
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.67 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Nea Salamis vs Apollon Limassol
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Cyprus League
Nea Salamis vs Apollon Limassol
1:0
Sep 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Nea Salamis vs Apollon Limassol
3:1
Apr 13, 2024 Cyprus League
Nea Salamis vs Apollon Limassol
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Limassol 26 / 100
Nea Salamis 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Limassol Nea Salamis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Salamis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Apollon Limassol scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Nea Salamis let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Apollon Limassol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Limassol VS Nea Salamis
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Limassol

(Home)
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1
Anorthosis
29 Aug
Aris Limassol
2 : 2
Apollon Limassol
Page 1 of 7

Nea Salamis

(Away)
03 Oct
Ermis
0 : 3
Nea Salamis
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
19 Sept
Nea Salamis
3 : 0
Anorthosis
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 5 3 2 0 11:2 11
2 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
9 APOEL 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
12 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
13 Karmiotissa 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
14 Krasava 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)