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Apollon Limassol vs Pafos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Limassol host Pafos in the Cyprus League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Apollon Limassol have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Pafos's 1.34 scored and 1.16 conceded. Head-to-head, Apollon Limassol have won 3 to Pafos's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.69) back Apollon Limassol to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Apollon Limassol
30%
Draws
33%
Pafos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apollon Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Apollon Limassol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Apollon Limassol a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 13%
Pafos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Limassol Pafos
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
0:2
May 3, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Apollon Limassol
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Apollon Limassol
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Limassol 48 / 100
Pafos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Limassol Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Limassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Limassol found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Pafos let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Apollon Limassol remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Limassol VS Pafos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Limassol

(Home)
17 Oct
Apollon Limassol
4 : 2
Nea Salamis
10 Oct
Krasava
1 : 3
Apollon Limassol
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
Page 1 of 7

Pafos

(Away)
19 Oct
Pafos
0 : 0
APOEL
15 Oct
Atalanta
3 : 1
Pafos
11 Oct
Anorthosis
1 : 3
Pafos
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEL Limassol 6 5 0 1 10:8 15
2 AEK Larnaca 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
3 Omonia 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Apollon Limassol 6 3 3 0 14:8 12
5 Pafos 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
6 Aris Limassol 6 2 3 1 7:8 9
7 APOEL 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
8 Omonia 29th May 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
9 Omonia Aradippou 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
10 Ol. Nicosia 6 0 5 1 10:11 5
11 Nea Salamis 6 1 1 4 11:15 4
12 Krasava 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
13 Anorthosis 6 1 0 5 4:13 3
14 Karmiotissa 6 0 3 3 4:11 3
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)