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Apollon Smyrnis vs Ialisos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 Georgios Kamaras Stadium, Athens
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Smyrnis host Ialisos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Apollon Smyrnis at 1.32 goals for, 0.87 against; Ialisos at 1.43 for, 0.9 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.38 - 1.00) back Apollon Smyrnis to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Apollon Smyrnis
15%
Draws
37%
Ialisos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Apollon Smyrnis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Apollon Smyrnis have managed 1.32 goals a game lately — Ialisos are scoring more at 1.43.
  • Apollon Smyrnis are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 20%
Ialisos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Smyrnis Ialisos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Smyrnis 67 / 100
Ialisos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Smyrnis Ialisos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Smyrnis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Apollon Smyrnis scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Ialisos let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Apollon Smyrnis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Ialisos registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Smyrnis VS Ialisos
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Smyrnis

(Home)
04 Oct
Apollon Smyrnis
1 : 0
AO Proodeftiki
27 Sept
Diagoras FC
0 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Ethnikos Piraeus
3 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 7

Ialisos

(Away)
04 Oct
Ialisos
0 : 1
PAE Egaleo
27 Sept
Amfiali
1 : 0
Ialisos
28 Apr
Ialisos
1 : 0
Mykonos
25 Apr
Ialisos
1 : 0
Kyanos Astir Varis
21 Apr
Afantou
2 : 2
Ialisos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAE Egaleo 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Apollon Smyrnis 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Doxa Vyronas 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Amfiali 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Afantou 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Ionikos 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
8 Diagoras FC 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
9 PAO Rouf 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
10 Ialysos 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
11 AO Proodeftiki 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
12 Apollon Kalythion 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Losers stage)