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Apolonia Fier U19 vs Hajduk Split U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu
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AI Match Summary

Apolonia Fier U19 play Hajduk Split U19 in the UEFA Youth League 2022/2023. Hajduk Split U19 are favorites here. Recently, Apolonia Fier U19 averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2 conceded. Hajduk Split U19 averaged 2.32 goals scored and 1.05 conceded. In past meetings, Apolonia Fier U19 won 0, Hajduk Split U19 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 2, 2022 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Apolonia Fier U19 and 1.99 for Hajduk Split U19. This points to a Hajduk Split U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Apolonia Fier U19
15%
Draws
63%
Hajduk Split U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Apolonia Fier U19 picked up more points recently compared to Hajduk Split U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Apolonia Fier U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Hajduk Split U19 Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apolonia Fier U19 Hajduk Split U19
Matches Played 4 19
Wins 1 15
Draws 1 1
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1.25 2.32
Goals Conceded 2 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.60 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Hajduk Split U19 vs Apolonia Fier U19
3:1
Oct 26, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Apolonia Fier U19 vs Hajduk Split U19
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apolonia Fier U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hajduk Split U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vrcic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antunovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier U19 22 / 100
Hajduk Split U19 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apolonia Fier U19 Hajduk Split U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Hajduk Split U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Apolonia Fier U19 attacking → ← attacking Hajduk Split U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apolonia Fier U19 scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Hajduk Split U19 let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Apolonia Fier U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hajduk Split U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

4 Points in last 5 46
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.60 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63