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Stadium Background

Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Umejiego M. A.
26' Event
Umejiego M. A.
39' Event
Omeri S.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Apolonia Fier and Beselidhja Lezha finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apolonia Fier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Apolonia Fier
6%
Draws
4%
Beselidhja Lezha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Apolonia Fier come out ahead of Beselidhja Lezha on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Apolonia Fier's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Apolonia Fier have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 68%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apolonia Fier Beselidhja Lezha
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:0
Apr 23, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:1
Dec 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Apolonia Fier
1:2
Oct 12, 2022 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:1
Sep 25, 2022 Albanian Cup
Beselidhja Lezha vs Apolonia Fier
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apolonia Fier Compare

Top Goalscorer Umejiego M. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Omeri S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Beselidhja Lezha Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 95 / 100
Beselidhja Lezha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apolonia Fier Beselidhja Lezha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Beselidhja Lezha conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Beselidhja Lezha's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Apolonia Fier's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Apolonia Fier VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skenderbeu Korca261310337:1349
2Dinamo Tirana26145748:2347
3Flamurtari26137640:1646
4Tomori Berat26134929:2743
5Korabi Peshkopi26109732:2439
6Apolonia Fier26108831:3038
7Luzi26108831:2638
8Besa Kavaje26107932:2637
9Lushnja26881030:4232
10Burreli26710922:2931
11KF Oriku26931427:3330
12Turbina Cerrik26751424:4526
13Beselidhja Lezha26381517:4114
14Terbuni Puka26661416:4124