Sport Picks

Albania

Albanian Cup 2024/2025 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu

Kelcyra

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Apolonia Fier play Kelcyra in the Albanian Cup 2024/2025. Apolonia Fier are favorites here. Recently, Apolonia Fier averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Kelcyra averaged 0 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Apolonia Fier won 1, Kelcyra won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 16, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Apolonia Fier and 1.31 for Kelcyra. This points to a Apolonia Fier double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Apolonia Fier

25%

Draws

15%

Kelcyra

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Apolonia Fier picked up more points recently compared to Kelcyra.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 18%

Kelcyra Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Apolonia Fier	Kelcyra
Matches Played	31	2
Wins	7	0
Draws	7	0
Losses	17	2
Goals Scored	1.06	0
Goals Conceded	1.35	3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2024 Albanian Cup

Apolonia Fier vs Kelcyra

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apolonia Fier Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndubuisi E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Umejiego M. A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

Kelcyra Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 58 / 100

Kelcyra 17 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Apolonia Fier Kelcyra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apolonia Fier Win (1)

Secondary Pick Apolonia Fier & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Apolonia Fier attacking → ← attacking Kelcyra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apolonia Fier scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Kelcyra let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Apolonia Fier went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kelcyra lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 0

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00