Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apolonia Fier vs Kucove

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2023/2024 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apolonia Fier play Kucove in the Albanian Cup 2023/2024. Apolonia Fier are favorites here. Recently, Apolonia Fier averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Kucove averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. In past meetings, Apolonia Fier won 5, Kucove won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 18, 2023 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Apolonia Fier and 1.31 for Kucove. This points to a Apolonia Fier double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Apolonia Fier
15%
Draws
25%
Kucove
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Apolonia Fier picked up more points recently compared to Kucove.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 18%
Kucove Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apolonia Fier Kucove
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.21 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Kucove
4:0
Jan 28, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Kucove
4:0
Oct 14, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Kucove vs Apolonia Fier
0:2
Apr 26, 2008 Kategoria e Parë
Kucove vs Apolonia Fier
1:3
Dec 1, 2007 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Kucove
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apolonia Fier Compare

Top Goalscorer Kacanolli R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Umejiego M. A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Kucove Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 58 / 100
Kucove 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apolonia Fier Kucove

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apolonia Fier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Apolonia Fier & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Apolonia Fier attacking → ← attacking Kucove

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apolonia Fier scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Kucove let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Apolonia Fier went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kucove lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 20
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00