Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu, Fier
Apolonia Fier Logo

Apolonia Fier

0 - 0
FT
Lushnja Logo

Lushnja

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Apolonia Fier and Lushnja finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Apolonia Fier
30%
Draws
47%
Lushnja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lushnja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Apolonia Fier come out ahead of Lushnja on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Apolonia Fier's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 68%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apolonia Fier Lushnja
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.09 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja
0:0
Jan 25, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja
0:0
Nov 19, 2025 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja
3:2
Oct 24, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Apolonia Fier
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 50 / 100
Lushnja 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apolonia Fier Lushnja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apolonia Fier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lushnja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: Lushnja registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Apolonia Fier found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Apolonia Fier VS Lushnja
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Apolonia Fier

(Home)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 7

Lushnja

(Away)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)