Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apolonia Fier vs Luzi

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2023/2024 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Nwatsock C.
9' Event
Nwatsock C.
43' Event
Pjetri A.

AI Match Summary

Apolonia Fier in this Albanian Cup 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apolonia Fier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Apolonia Fier
30%
Draws
34%
Luzi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luzi lately — more wins on the board than Apolonia Fier.
  • Model gives Apolonia Fier a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in Albanian Cup 2023/2024 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Apolonia Fier have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 18%
Luzi Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apolonia Fier Luzi
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Apolonia Fier
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Luzi
1:0
Dec 6, 2023 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Luzi
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Apolonia Fier
0:3
May 7, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Luzi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apolonia Fier Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwatsock C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Luzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Pjetri A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 36 / 100
Luzi 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apolonia Fier Luzi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzi has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Luzi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Apolonia Fier's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Apolonia Fier VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kukesi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastrioti3
Shkumbini Peqin2
Beselidhja Lezha0
AF Elbasani3
Partizani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier4
Kucove0
Luzi3
Butrinti Sarande2
Teuta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca3
Delvina0
Turbina Cerrik4
Koplik0
KF Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi4
KS Devolli0
Besa Kavaje3
Librazhd2
Laci-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana3
Iliria Kruja0
KF Oriku2
Pogradeci0
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tomori Berat1
Shenkolli0
Lushnja3
Laberia FC0
Erzeni Shijak-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bylis4
Murlani1
Terbuni Puka2
Vora4
Vllaznia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flamurtari2
AF Luftetari0
Burreli2
KF Valbona1
1/16-finals
Kukesi-
TBD-
Kastrioti2
AF Elbasani3
Partizani-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier2
Luzi1
Teuta-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca4
Turbina Cerrik0
KF Tirana-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi3
Besa Kavaje2
Laci-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana2
KF Oriku0
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Tomori Berat0
Lushnja3
Erzeni Shijak-
TBD-
Bylis3
Vora2
Vllaznia-
TBD-
Flamurtari2
Burreli0
1/8-finals
Kukesi1
AF Elbasani0
Partizani3
Apolonia Fier1
Teuta2
Skenderbeu Korca0
KF Tirana3
Korabi Peshkopi0
Laci1
Dinamo Tirana0
KF Egnatia2
Lushnja0
Erzeni Shijak2
Bylis1
Vllaznia4
Flamurtari0
Quarter-finals
Kukesi2
Partizani1
Teuta1
KF Tirana2
Laci1
KF Egnatia4
Erzeni Shijak3
Vllaznia7
Semi-finals
Kukesi2
KF Tirana1
KF Egnatia2
Vllaznia1
Final
Kukesi0
KF Egnatia1