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Apolonia Fier vs Maliqi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier Logo

Apolonia Fier

3 - 1
FT
Maliqi Logo

Maliqi

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mehmeti M.
19' Event
Mahmutaj A.
31' Event
Juninho
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Apolonia Fier
20%
Draws
0%
Maliqi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Maliqi haven't matched Apolonia Fier's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Apolonia Fier's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Apolonia Fier have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Apolonia Fier, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Apolonia Fier have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 20%
Maliqi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apolonia Fier Maliqi
Matches Played 55 30
Wins 24 5
Draws 12 3
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 1.02 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Maliqi
3:1
Feb 5, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Maliqi
3:0
Sep 25, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Maliqi vs Apolonia Fier
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apolonia Fier Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehmeti M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mahmutaj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Maliqi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 85 / 100
Maliqi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apolonia Fier Maliqi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apolonia Fier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maliqi has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Maliqi's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Apolonia Fier scored in 69% of their last 55 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Apolonia Fier VS Maliqi
0.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Apolonia Fier

(Home)
07 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 1
Maliqi
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 11

Maliqi

(Away)
07 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 1
Maliqi
08 Aug
Maliqi
1 : 3
Kukesi
16 Jan
Struga
3 : 0
Maliqi
15 Oct
Vora
6 : 2
Maliqi
12 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
3 : 0
Maliqi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kastrioti 3
Luzi 1
Burreli 2
Eagle FA 3
Besa Kavaje 4
KS Devolli 1
Korabi Peshkopi 2
Terbuni Puka 1
Iliria Kruja 4
Koplik 3
AF Luftetari 5
Tomori Berat 0
Pogradeci 7
Delvina 0
Kukesi 3
Erzeni Shijak 2
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Kucove 1
Apolonia Fier 3
Maliqi 1
Laci 8
Kelcyra 2
Lushnja 0
Shiroka 4
Flamurtari 4
Gramshi 1
KF Oriku 1
Butrinti Sarande 2
Bylis 4
Albpetrol 1
Beselidhja Lezha 2
Sopoti Librazhd 1
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