Sport Picks

Albania

Kategoria e Parë Stadiumi Loni Papuciu

Apolonia Fier

0 - 1

Skenderbeu Korca

Our Tip

Match Events

75'

Nasr S.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë game between Apolonia Fier and Skenderbeu Korca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skenderbeu Korca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Apolonia Fier

17%

Draws

70%

Skenderbeu Korca

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Skenderbeu Korca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Skenderbeu Korca carry the better recent record into this one.
Skenderbeu Korca are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Skenderbeu Korca here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 18%

Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Apolonia Fier	Skenderbeu Korca
Matches Played	34	33
Wins	9	20
Draws	8	7
Losses	17	6
Goals Scored	0.63	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Kategoria e Parë

Apolonia Fier vs Skenderbeu Korca

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Feb 14, 2026 Kategoria e Parë

Skenderbeu Korca vs Apolonia Fier

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

3:2

Nov 9, 2025 Kategoria e Parë

Apolonia Fier vs Skenderbeu Korca

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

2:3

Mar 31, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

Skenderbeu Korca vs Apolonia Fier

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

4:1

Dec 4, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Apolonia Fier vs Skenderbeu Korca

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 15 / 100

Skenderbeu Korca 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Apolonia Fier Skenderbeu Korca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Apolonia Fier scored in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Skenderbeu Korca conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Apolonia Fier went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apolonia Fier VS Skenderbeu Korca

0.63 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.13

63% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Laci	33	24	7	2	60:23	79
2	Skenderbeu Korca	33	24	5	4	57:25	77
3	Pogradeci	33	20	8	5	63:31	68
4	Iliria Kruja	33	11	12	10	32:33	45
5	Besa Kavaje	33	10	9	14	41:43	39
6	Kastrioti	33	11	6	16	44:57	39
7	Burreli	33	9	10	14	27:45	37
8	Korabi Peshkopi	33	8	12	13	31:39	36
9	AF Luftetari	33	7	13	13	37:43	34
10	Kukesi	33	8	7	18	31:50	31
11	Apolonia Fier	33	6	10	17	31:44	28
12	Lushnja	33	5	11	17	26:47	26