Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apolonia Fier vs Sopoti Librazhd

Albania Albania

First Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apolonia Fier in this First Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apolonia Fier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Apolonia Fier
30%
Draws
54%
Sopoti Librazhd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sopoti Librazhd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Apolonia Fier have won more games recently than Sopoti Librazhd.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 19%
Sopoti Librazhd Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apolonia Fier Sopoti Librazhd
Matches Played 43 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 10 9
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Sopoti Librazhd
2:1
Mar 11, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Sopoti Librazhd vs Apolonia Fier
1:1
Nov 26, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Sopoti Librazhd
3:2
Sep 24, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Sopoti Librazhd vs Apolonia Fier
1:2
Apr 23, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Sopoti Librazhd
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 32 / 100
Sopoti Librazhd 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apolonia Fier Sopoti Librazhd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apolonia Fier found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (43 games).

Sopoti Librazhd let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Apolonia Fier went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apolonia Fier VS Sopoti Librazhd
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Apolonia Fier

(Home)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0
Apolonia Fier
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Sopoti Librazhd

(Away)
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
05 Sept
Bylis
1 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
19 Nov
Vora
2 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iliria Kruja 8 4 1 3 10:10 20
2 Kastrioti 8 3 0 5 9:11 20
3 Besa Kavaje 8 3 2 3 8:8 20
4 Terbuni Puka 8 4 2 2 7:5 19
5 Mamurrasi 8 3 1 4 8:8 17
Relegation - First Division 2016/2017 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apolonia Fier 8 4 3 1 17:9 26
2 Turbina Cerrik 8 3 2 3 13:12 22
3 Dinamo City 8 2 4 2 6:8 19
4 Sopoti Librazhd 8 2 3 3 8:9 17
5 KF Elbasani 8 1 4 3 11:17 15
Relegation - First Division 2016/2017 (Relegation)