Sport Picks
Apolonia Fier vs Terbuni Puka Prediction & H2H Stats
Albania
First Division 2022/2023 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu, Fier 
Match Events
80'
80'
Ndubuisi E.
AI Match Summary
Apolonia Fier in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apolonia Fier.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apolonia Fier
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Apolonia Fier have won more games recently than Terbuni Puka.
- Model gives Apolonia Fier a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 68%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Apolonia Fier | Terbuni Puka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Terbuni Puka
1:0
Oct 8, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Apolonia Fier
1:1
May 14, 2022 Abissnet Superiore
Apolonia Fier vs Terbuni Puka
1:0
Feb 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Apolonia Fier
1:0
Oct 2, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Terbuni Puka
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Apolonia Fier Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndubuisi E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
Terbuni Puka Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Apolonia Fier 95 / 100
Terbuni Puka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Apolonia Fier Terbuni Puka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Apolonia Fier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Terbuni Puka has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Terbuni Puka's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Apolonia Fier scored in 62% of their last 42 games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Apolonia Fier VS Terbuni Puka
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Apolonia Fier
(Home) 03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4 Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1 Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0 Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0 Apolonia Fier
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03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4 Burreli
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Besa Kavaje
21 Mar
Apolonia Fier
0 : 0 Lushnja
14 Mar
Apolonia Fier
0 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
28 Feb
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Pogradeci
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Terbuni Puka
(Away) 15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1 Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3 Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4 Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3 KF Oriku
06 May
Dinamo City
3 : 0 Terbuni Puka
Page 1 of 6
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1 Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3 Terbuni Puka
06 May
Dinamo City
3 : 0 Terbuni Puka
23 Apr
Luzi
3 : 0 Terbuni Puka
08 Apr
Besa Kavaje
3 : 0 Terbuni Puka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skenderbeu Korca | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 37:13 | 49 |
| 2 | Dinamo City | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 48:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Flamurtari | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 40:16 | 46 |
| 4 | Tomori Berat | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 29:27 | 43 |
| 5 | Korabi Peshkopi | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 32:24 | 39 |
| 6 | Apolonia Fier | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31:30 | 38 |
| 7 | Luzi | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31:26 | 38 |
| 8 | Besa Kavaje | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 32:26 | 37 |
| 9 | Lushnja | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 30:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Burreli | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 22:29 | 31 |
| 11 | KF Oriku | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 27:33 | 30 |
| 12 | Turbina Cerrik | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:45 | 26 |
| 13 | Beselidhja Lezha | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17:41 | 14 |
| 14 | Terbuni Puka | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 16:41 | 24 |
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)
