Sport Picks
Apolonia Fier vs Terbuni Puka
Albania
First Division 2022/2023 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu 
AI Match Summary
Apolonia Fier play Terbuni Puka in the First Division 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Apolonia Fier averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Terbuni Puka averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Apolonia Fier won 2, Terbuni Puka won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 4, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Apolonia Fier and 1.31 for Terbuni Puka. This points to a Apolonia Fier double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Apolonia Fier picked up more points recently compared to Terbuni Puka.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Apolonia Fier | Terbuni Puka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 45 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 21 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.83 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Apolonia Fier Compare
Terbuni Puka Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Apolonia Fier scored in 62% of their last 45 games.
Terbuni Puka let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Apolonia Fier went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Terbuni Puka lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skenderbeu Korca | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 37:13 | 49 |
| 2 | Dinamo Tirana | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 48:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Flamurtari | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 40:16 | 46 |
| 4 | Tomori Berat | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 29:27 | 43 |
| 5 | Korabi Peshkopi | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 32:24 | 39 |
| 6 | Apolonia Fier | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31:30 | 38 |
| 7 | Luzi | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31:26 | 38 |
| 8 | Besa Kavaje | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 32:26 | 37 |
| 9 | Lushnja | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 30:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Burreli | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 22:29 | 31 |
| 11 | KF Oriku | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 27:33 | 30 |
| 12 | Turbina Cerrik | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:45 | 26 |
| 13 | Beselidhja Lezha | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17:41 | 14 |
| 14 | Terbuni Puka | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 16:41 | 24 |