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APR vs Gicumbi

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Amahoro, Kigali
APR Logo

APR

2 - 0
FT
Gicumbi Logo

Gicumbi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between APR and Gicumbi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
APR
15%
Draws
28%
Gicumbi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • APR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • APR are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and APR have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
APR Clean Sheet 19%
Gicumbi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Gicumbi
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.64 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premier League
APR vs Gicumbi
2:0
Sep 18, 2025 Premier League
Gicumbi vs APR
1:2
Feb 13, 2022 Premier League
Gicumbi vs APR
0:2
Oct 31, 2021 Premier League
APR vs Gicumbi
3:1
May 9, 2020 Premier League
APR vs Gicumbi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 85 / 100
Gicumbi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Gicumbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Gicumbi has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: APR stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Gicumbi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5
Mahia
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
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Gicumbi

(Away)
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
15 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Gicumbi
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1
Bugesera
05 May
Gasogi United
3 : 1
Gicumbi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)