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APR vs Marines - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sibomana S.
Assist: Bizimana Y.
35' Event
Ntirushwa A.
Assist: Usabimana O.
37' Event
Ouattara Dj.
Assist: Amani K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between APR and Marines finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
APR
20%
Draws
32%
Marines
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and APR come out ahead of Marines on wins alone.
  • APR are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • APR have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
APR Clean Sheet 68%
Marines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Marines
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.59 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Premier League
APR vs Marines
4:2
Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
Marines vs APR
2:2
Nov 25, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Marines
2:1
May 7, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Marines
3:0
Jan 8, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs APR
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APR Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouattara Dj.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dao M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8

Marines Compare

Top Goalscorer Sibomana S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ntirushwa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 95 / 100
Marines 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Marines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Marines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

APR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Marines
1.75 Goals Scored 1.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
Page 1 of 6

Marines

(Away)
10 Oct
Marines
0 : 0
Kiyovu
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
06 Sept
Marines
2 : 0
Kigali FC
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Mukura Victory Sports 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
5 Sunrise 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
6 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
7 Amagaju 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
8 Gasogi United 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
9 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
10 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
12 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
13 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
14 Police 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
15 Musanze 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
16 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
17 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
18 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)