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APR vs Muhanga

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Amahoro, Kigali
APR Logo

APR

1 - 0
FT
Muhanga Logo

Muhanga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

APR in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored APR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
APR
15%
Draws
31%
Muhanga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • APR have won more games recently than Muhanga.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on APR taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors APR here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
APR Clean Sheet 68%
Muhanga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Muhanga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.83 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
APR vs Muhanga
1:0
Dec 26, 2025 Premier League
Muhanga vs APR
1:2
May 14, 2021 Premier League
APR vs Muhanga
3:1
May 5, 2021 Premier League
Muhanga vs APR
1:3
Feb 28, 2021 Premier League
Muhanga vs APR
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 86 / 100
Muhanga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Muhanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Muhanga let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: APR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Muhanga
1.75 Goals Scored 1.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
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Muhanga

(Away)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
16 May
Kiyovu
1 : 1
Muhanga
10 May
Muhanga
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
06 May
Muhanga
1 : 0
Rayon Sport
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)