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APR vs Rutsiro

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Amahoro, Kigali
APR Logo

APR

3 - 0
FT
Rutsiro Logo

Rutsiro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between APR and Rutsiro finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
APR
15%
Draws
21%
Rutsiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • APR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans APR's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
APR Clean Sheet 68%
Rutsiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Rutsiro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.74 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
APR vs Rutsiro
3:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Rutsiro vs APR
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Rutsiro vs APR
0:5
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
APR vs Rutsiro
0:0
Mar 4, 2023 Premier League
APR vs Rutsiro
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 86 / 100
Rutsiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Rutsiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Rutsiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: APR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Rutsiro
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5
Mahia
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
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Rutsiro

(Away)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
AS Kigali
17 May
APR
3 : 0
Rutsiro
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Amagaju
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)