Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aprilia vs Angri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gjuci A.
54' Event
Umile B.
55' Event
Capuano E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Aprilia and Angri finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aprilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Aprilia
20%
Draws
30%
Angri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Angri haven't matched Aprilia's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Aprilia taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 68%
Angri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aprilia Angri
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.07 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Angri
3:1
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Angri vs Aprilia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aprilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjuci A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Capuano E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Angri Compare

Top Goalscorer Umile B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aprilia 95 / 100
Angri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aprilia Angri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aprilia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angri let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Aprilia scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Aprilia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Angri
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aprilia

(Home)
07 May
Vis Artena
2 : 2
Aprilia
30 Apr
Aprilia
4 : 1
Casertana
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
06 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 2
Aprilia
Page 1 of 6

Angri

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)