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Aprilia vs Lupa Roma

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aprilia in this Serie D - Group G 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aprilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aprilia
17%
Draws
13%
Lupa Roma
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Lupa Roma haven't matched Aprilia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aprilia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 20%
Lupa Roma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aprilia Lupa Roma
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 11 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Lupa Roma
1:0
Oct 7, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Lupa Roma vs Aprilia
0:0
Jan 7, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Lupa Roma vs Aprilia
1:1
Sep 3, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Lupa Roma
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aprilia 67 / 100
Lupa Roma 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aprilia Lupa Roma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lupa Roma let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aprilia scored in 73% of their last 40 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aprilia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aprilia VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avellino38265770:3683
2Lanusei Calcio38258562:3083
3Trastevere Calcio38236970:3975
4Latte Dolce381914556:3271
5Cassino382161165:4469
6Monterosi382071158:3967
7Latina3815111254:4056
8Vis Artena381671566:6355
9Aprilia381671551:4855
10Albalonga3814121263:5154
11SFF Atletico (Inactive)381591464:5554
12Budoni Calcio3811101751:6043
13Flaminia3811101747:5143
14Ladispoli3810101847:6640
15Sassari Torres381242235:5940
16Ostiamare389121735:4539
17Citta di Anagni388151529:4239
18Castiadas388121843:6236
19Lupa Roma387102144:7929
20Anzio Calcio 192438452929:9817