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APS Bomet vs Bandari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

APS Bomet host Bandari in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Bandari have shipped 0.77 goals a game lately, while APS Bomet have conceded 0.96 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor APS Bomet slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (0.56 - 0.32) back APS Bomet to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
APS Bomet
15%
Draws
27%
Bandari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APS Bomet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bandari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans APS Bomet's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 20%
Bandari Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APS Bomet Bandari
Matches Played 23 26
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Premier League
Bandari vs APS Bomet
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Bandari
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Bandari
0:0
Oct 29, 2022 Premier League
Bandari vs APS Bomet
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APS Bomet 42 / 100
Bandari 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APS Bomet Bandari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: APS Bomet remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

APS Bomet scored in 74% of their last 23 games.

Bandari lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Bandari conceded in 54% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

APS Bomet VS Bandari
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

APS Bomet

(Home)
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0
KCB
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Bandari

(Away)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
24 May
Bandari
1 : 0
Tusker
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)