Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Ochieng H.
47'
47'
Ochieng M.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between APS Bomet and Bidco United finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APS Bomet
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and APS Bomet come out ahead of Bidco United on wins alone.
- APS Bomet are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 68%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | APS Bomet | Bidco United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.32 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Bidco United
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Bidco United vs APS Bomet
0:0
May 13, 2023 Premier League
Bidco United vs APS Bomet
0:0
Dec 10, 2022 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Bidco United
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
APS Bomet Compare
Top Goalscorer Ochieng H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Bidco United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ochieng M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
APS Bomet 77 / 100
Bidco United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
APS Bomet Bidco United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick APS Bomet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
APS Bomet has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: APS Bomet scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Bidco United has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Bidco United lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
APS Bomet VS Bidco United
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
APS Bomet
(Home) 31 May
Tusker
1 : 1 APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1 Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2 APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2 APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0 KCB
Page 1 of 6
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1 Leopards
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0 KCB
26 Apr
APS Bomet
1 : 0 Sofapaka
29 Mar
APS Bomet
0 : 0 Nairobi United
14 Mar
APS Bomet
1 : 1 Bidco United
Page 1 of 3
Bidco United
(Away) 31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2 Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0 Bidco United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0 Bidco United
24 Apr
Posta Rangers
1 : 1 Bidco United
18 Apr
Mathare United
3 : 0 Bidco United
28 Mar
Bandari
1 : 0 Bidco United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
