Sport Picks

Stadium Background

APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between APS Bomet and Kariobangi Sharks finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kariobangi Sharks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
APS Bomet
35%
Draws
27%
Kariobangi Sharks
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: APS Bomet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and APS Bomet come out ahead of Kariobangi Sharks on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kariobangi Sharks's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 31%
Kariobangi Sharks Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APS Bomet Kariobangi Sharks
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.19 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs APS Bomet
1:2
Feb 11, 2023 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs APS Bomet
0:0
Oct 9, 2022 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APS Bomet 18 / 100
Kariobangi Sharks 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APS Bomet Kariobangi Sharks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kariobangi Sharks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: APS Bomet stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

APS Bomet scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Kariobangi Sharks conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

APS Bomet VS Kariobangi Sharks
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

APS Bomet

(Home)
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 6

Kariobangi Sharks

(Away)
31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0
Sofapaka
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2
Kakamega Homeboyz
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0
Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)