Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Nyakwaka P.
20'
20'
Olega B.
47'
47'
Olega B.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between APS Bomet and Shabana finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: APS Bomet
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Shabana come out ahead of APS Bomet on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on APS Bomet taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 68%
Shabana Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | APS Bomet | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Shabana
3:3
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Shabana vs APS Bomet
4:2
Feb 4, 2023 Super League
Shabana vs APS Bomet
0:0
Jul 2, 2022 Super League
APS Bomet vs Shabana
1:0
Feb 14, 2022 Super League
Shabana vs APS Bomet
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
APS Bomet Compare
Top Goalscorer Nyakwaka P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wasai P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Shabana Compare
Top Goalscorer Olega B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Michira B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
APS Bomet 86 / 100
Shabana 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
APS Bomet Shabana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick APS Bomet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
APS Bomet has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
APS Bomet found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Shabana conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
APS Bomet VS Shabana
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
APS Bomet
(Home) 31 May
Tusker
1 : 1 APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1 Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2 APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2 APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0 KCB
Page 1 of 6
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1 Leopards
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0 KCB
26 Apr
APS Bomet
1 : 0 Sofapaka
29 Mar
APS Bomet
0 : 0 Nairobi United
14 Mar
APS Bomet
1 : 1 Bidco United
Page 1 of 3
Shabana
(Away) 31 May
Shabana
1 : 2 KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0 Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0 Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0 Shabana
11 Apr
KUTA Collection
0 : 1 Shabana
05 Apr
Nairobi United
3 : 0 Shabana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
