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Aqaba vs Balama Prediction & H2H Stats

Jordan Jordan

Jordan Cup 2022/2023
Aqaba Logo

Aqaba

3 - 1
FT
Balama Logo

Balama

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sariweh O.
39' Event
Canga C.
55' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aqaba in this Jordan Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Aqaba
15%
Draws
26%
Balama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aqaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Aqaba have won more games recently than Balama.
  • Win probability leans Aqaba's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Aqaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aqaba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Aqaba Clean Sheet 68%
Balama Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aqaba Balama
Matches Played 32 10
Wins 9 3
Draws 6 0
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 2 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2022 Jordan Cup
Aqaba vs Balama
3:1
Apr 19, 2019 Jordan Cup
Balama vs Aqaba
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aqaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Canga C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sariweh O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Balama Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aqaba 59 / 100
Balama 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aqaba Balama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aqaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balama let in goals in 80% of their last 10 matches.

Aqaba's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Aqaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aqaba VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aqaba

(Home)
08 Nov
Aqaba
0 : 2
Al Jazeera Amman
20 Oct
Aqaba
2 : 1
Umm Al Qutain
01 May
Aqaba
1 : 1
Al Jazeera Amman
26 Apr
Al Hussein
6 : 0
Aqaba
17 Apr
Shabab Al Ordon
1 : 3
Aqaba
Page 1 of 7

Balama

(Away)
23 Aug
Balama
1 : 4
Doqarah
20 Aug
Aqaba
3 : 1
Balama
08 Aug
Balama
0 : 2
Al Wehda
19 Apr
Balama
0 : 1
Aqaba
15 Mar
Balama
1 : 0
Dar Al Dawaa
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Al Buqaa -
TBD -
Saham 2
Ghor Al Safi 1
Al Jalil -
TBD -
TBD -
Amman -
Al Sareeh -
TBD -
That Ras 0
Umm Al Qotain 7
Moghayer Al Sarhan -
TBD -
Hartha 0
Sama 3
Aqaba -
TBD -
TBD -
Balama -
Ittihad Al Ramtha -
TBD -
Ittihad Jerash 2
Al Yarmouk 1
Al Hussein -
TBD -
TBD -
Kfarsoum -
Maan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) -
Shabab Al Ordon -
TBD -
Shabab Nazzal 1
Al Taibah 0
Al Jazeera Amman -
TBD -
Rabaa Serhan 1
El Alia 0
Al Salt -
TBD -
Al Hashemeya 0
Al Khaledeya 1
Al Ramtha -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Ahli -
Al Wehdat -
TBD -
Al Husn 4
Shabab Hwarah 3
Sama Al Sarhan -
TBD -
Al Karmal 0
Deir Alla 1
Sahab -
TBD -
Mansheyat 0
Al Wehda 9
Al Faisaly Amman -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Tora -
1/16-finals
Al Buqaa 2
Saham 1
Al Jalil 0
Amman 4
Al Sareeh 3
Umm Al Qotain 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan 2
Sama 0
Aqaba 3
Balama 1
Ittihad Al Ramtha 3
Ittihad Jerash 1
Al Hussein 6
Kfarsoum 0
Maan 0
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) 1
Shabab Al Ordon 3
Shabab Nazzal 0
Al Jazeera Amman 6
Rabaa Serhan 0
Al Salt 3
Al Khaledeya 1
Al Ramtha 2
Al Ahli 0
Al Wehdat 5
Al Husn 0
Sama Al Sarhan 3
Deir Alla 2
Sahab 1
Al Wehda 0
Al Faisaly Amman 6
Al Tora 0
1/8-finals
Al Buqaa 0
Amman 1
Al Sareeh 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan 2
Aqaba 1
Ittihad Al Ramtha 0
Al Hussein 3
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) 1
Shabab Al Ordon 0
Al Jazeera Amman 1
Al Salt 1
Al Ramtha 3
Al Wehdat 4
Sama Al Sarhan 0
Sahab 0
Al Faisaly Amman 3
Quarter-finals
Amman 2
Moghayer Al Sarhan 1
Aqaba 1
Al Hussein 0
Al Jazeera Amman 1
Al Ramtha 4
Al Wehdat 2
Al Faisaly Amman 1
Semi-finals
Amman 0
Aqaba 3
Al Ramtha 0
Al Wehdat 1
Final
Aqaba 0
Al Wehdat 1