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Aqaba vs Umm Al-Qutain

Jordan Jordan

Jordan Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
80' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aqaba
25%
Draws
35%
Umm Al-Qutain
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Aqaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aqaba lately — more wins on the board than Umm Al-Qutain.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Umm Al-Qutain taking it.
  • Aqaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aqaba, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aqaba Clean Sheet 20%
Umm Al-Qutain Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aqaba Umm Al-Qutain
Matches Played 30 1
Wins 7 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 17 1
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2.1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2025 Jordan Cup
Aqaba vs Umm Al-Qutain
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aqaba 16 / 100
Umm Al-Qutain 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aqaba Umm Al-Qutain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umm Al-Qutain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umm Al-Qutain's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.

Aqaba's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aqaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aqaba VS Umm Al-Qutain
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aqaba

(Home)
08 Nov
Aqaba
0 : 2
Al Jazeera Amman
20 Oct
Aqaba
2 : 1
Umm Al-Qutain
01 May
Aqaba
1 : 1
Al Jazeera Amman
26 Apr
Al Hussein
6 : 0
Aqaba
17 Apr
Shabab Al Ordon
1 : 3
Aqaba
Page 1 of 6

Umm Al-Qutain

(Away)
20 Oct
Aqaba
2 : 1
Umm Al-Qutain

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al-Faisaly Amman 5
Shabab Al Hussein 0
Sama Al Sarhan 1
Kfarsoum 0
Maan 1
Jerash SC 0
Shabab Al Ordon 1
Sahl Horan 0
Al Ahli 2
Moab 0
Al Sareeh 1
Doqarah 0
Amman 3
Ittihad Al Ramtha 0
Al Ramtha 9
Shabab Talbieh 0
Al Hussein 10
Sama 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan 0
Al Karmal 7
Aqaba 2
Umm Al-Qutain 1
Al Jazeera Amman 5
Al Tora 0
Al Salt 10
Sahab 1
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) 2
Al Hashemeya 3
Al Buqaa 2
Al Yarmouk 0
Al Wehdat 6
Al Jalil 0
1/8-finals
Al-Faisaly Amman 1
Sama Al Sarhan 0
Maan 0
Shabab Al Ordon 3
Al Ahli 1
Al Sareeh 0
Amman 0
Al Ramtha 1
Al Hussein 6
Al Karmal 0
Aqaba 0
Al Jazeera Amman 2
Al Salt 3
Al Hashemeya 0
Al Buqaa 1
Al Wehdat 3
Quarter-finals
Al-Faisaly Amman 1
Shabab Al Ordon 0
Al Ahli 0
Al Ramtha 1
Al Hussein 3
Al Jazeera Amman 1
Al Salt 0
Al Wehdat 3
Semi-finals
Al-Faisaly Amman 1
Al Ramtha 2
Al Hussein 3
Al Wehdat 1
Final
Al Ramtha 0
Al Hussein 3