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Aquidauanense vs Corumbaense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
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Match Events

12' Event
Ataliba G.
90' Event
Romario

AI Match Summary

Corumbaense in this Sul-Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corumbaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Aquidauanense
15%
Draws
27%
Corumbaense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Corumbaense haven't matched Aquidauanense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aquidauanense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 20%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquidauanense Corumbaense
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Corumbaense
0:2
Mar 9, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Corumbaense
3:2
Feb 10, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Aquidauanense
1:1
Dec 2, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Corumbaense
3:0
Nov 29, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Aquidauanense
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aquidauanense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Corumbaense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ataliba G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romario
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquidauanense 40 / 100
Corumbaense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquidauanense Corumbaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Aquidauanense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aquidauanense found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Corumbaense conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aquidauanense VS Corumbaense
1.57 Goals Scored 1
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquidauanense

(Home)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
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Corumbaense

(Away)
18 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Corumbaense
15 Mar
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Operario MS
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivinhema 9 6 1 2 21:7 19
2 Pantanal 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
3 Dourados 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
4 Operario MS 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Costa Rica 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Aguia Negra 9 3 2 4 14:14 11
7 Naviraiense 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Corumbaense 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
9 Coxim 9 2 1 6 7:18 7
10 Aquidauanense 9 1 1 7 12:29 4
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)