Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Aquidauanense play Costa Rica in the Sul-Matogrossense 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aquidauanense averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. Costa Rica averaged 1.02 goals scored and 1.05 conceded. In past meetings, Aquidauanense won 1, Costa Rica won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 5, 2025 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.18 for Aquidauanense and 1.56 for Costa Rica. This points to a Costa Rica double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aquidauanense picked up more points recently compared to Costa Rica.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.18 vs 1.56 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aquidauanense | Costa Rica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 40 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 15 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.02 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.96 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.86 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.86 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aquidauanense Compare
Costa Rica Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aquidauanense scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Costa Rica let in goals in 70% of their last 40 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Aquidauanense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Costa Rica lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivinhema | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Pantanal | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dourados | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Operario MS | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Costa Rica | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Aguia Negra | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Naviraiense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 8 | Corumbaense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 9 | Coxim | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 7 |
| 10 | Aquidauanense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | 4 |