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AI Match Summary
Aquidauanense host Ivinhema in the Sul-Matogrossense 2024. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Aquidauanense at 0.8 goals for, 0.4 against; Ivinhema at 1.38 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Aquidauanense slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2025, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.09 xG vs 0.89) point toward Aquidauanense. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ivinhema has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aquidauanense.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Sul-Matogrossense 2024 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aquidauanense | Ivinhema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 48 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.4 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.80 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.40 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aquidauanense Compare
Ivinhema Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aquidauanense scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Ivinhema let in goals in 75% of their last 48 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Aquidauanense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Ivinhema lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Operario MS | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 20 |
| 2 | Coxim | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 3 | Pantanal | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 5 | Nautico MS | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6:21 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dourados | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Aquidauanense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Corumbaense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 5 | Novoperario | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:13 | 6 |