Sport Picks
Aquidauanense vs Nautico MS Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Sul-Matogrossense 2023 
AI Match Summary
Aquidauanense host Nautico MS in the Sul-Matogrossense 2023. Aquidauanense go into this one as the clear favorite. Aquidauanense have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Nautico MS's 0.75 scored and 2.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Aquidauanense slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 1.50) point toward Aquidauanense. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aquidauanense have won more games recently than Nautico MS.
- Model gives Aquidauanense a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aquidauanense | Nautico MS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 8 |
| Wins | 12 | 0 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nautico MS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 8 matches.
Aquidauanense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Nautico MS's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Aquidauanense scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aquidauanense
(Home)Nautico MS
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Rica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Operario MS | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Chapadao | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Coxim | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 8 |
| 5 | Comercial MS | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dourados | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Ivinhema | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 3 | Novoperario | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 4 | Aquidauanense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 10 |
| 5 | Operario AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 5 |
