Sport Picks

Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense Women 2024

Operario MS W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aquidauanense W play Operario MS W in the Sul-Matogrossense Women 2024. Operario MS W are favorites here. Recently, Aquidauanense W averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Operario MS W averaged 2.95 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Aquidauanense W won 0, Operario MS W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 7, 2024 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Aquidauanense W and 3.42 for Operario MS W. This points to a Operario MS W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Aquidauanense W

15%

Draws

56%

Operario MS W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario MS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Aquidauanense W picked up more points recently compared to Operario MS W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 3.42 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Aquidauanense W Clean Sheet 10%

Operario MS W Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aquidauanense W	Operario MS W
Matches Played	5	19
Wins	2	12
Draws	0	1
Losses	3	6
Goals Scored	1	2.95
Goals Conceded	2.2	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	0.83	5.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.83	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense Women

Operario MS W vs Aquidauanense W

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

7:0

Nov 30, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense Women

Aquidauanense W vs Operario MS W

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquidauanense W 28 / 100

Operario MS W 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aquidauanense W Operario MS W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario MS W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Operario MS W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aquidauanense W attacking → ← attacking Operario MS W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aquidauanense W scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Operario MS W let in goals in 53% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Aquidauanense W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Operario MS W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 37

0.83 Goals expected (xG) 5.00

1.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88