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Aquila Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

66'
Nonni L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Aquila Calcio and Atletico Ascoli finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aquila Calcio
30%
Draws
27%
Atletico Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aquila Calcio come out ahead of Atletico Ascoli on wins alone.
  • Aquila Calcio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquila Calcio Atletico Ascoli
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli
0:0
Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Aquila Calcio
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Aquila Calcio
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquila Calcio 85 / 100
Atletico Ascoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquila Calcio Atletico Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aquila Calcio went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aquila Calcio scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Atletico Ascoli let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aquila Calcio VS Atletico Ascoli
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquila Calcio

(Home)
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
5 : 2
Termoli
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Ascoli

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1
Fossombrone
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1
Maceratese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Notaresco Calcio 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
7 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)