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Aquila Calcio vs Foligno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aquila Calcio host Foligno in the Serie D - Group F. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Aquila Calcio at 1.34 goals for, 1.07 against; Foligno at 1.13 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Aquila Calcio slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2017, ending 11:0. xG projections (1.31 - 0.81) back Aquila Calcio to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aquila Calcio
15%
Draws
34%
Foligno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Foligno lately — more wins on the board than Aquila Calcio.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Aquila Calcio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aquila Calcio here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Foligno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquila Calcio Foligno
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Aquila Calcio vs Foligno
11:0
Sep 11, 2016 Serie D - Group G
Foligno vs Aquila Calcio
1:2
Feb 24, 2013 Lega Pro C2/B
Foligno vs Aquila Calcio
0:2
Oct 14, 2012 Lega Pro C2/B
Aquila Calcio vs Foligno
1:1
Aug 19, 2012 Coppa Italia Serie C
Foligno vs Aquila Calcio
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquila Calcio 67 / 100
Foligno 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquila Calcio Foligno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Aquila Calcio went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aquila Calcio found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Foligno let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aquila Calcio VS Foligno
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquila Calcio

(Home)
18 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Aquila Calcio
11 Oct
Aquila Calcio
2 : 1
Santegidiese
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
2 : 1
Termoli
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
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Foligno

(Away)
18 Oct
Foligno
0 : 1
Giulianova
11 Oct
Maceratese
0 : 2
Foligno
04 Oct
Foligno
1 : 0
Angelana
27 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
1 : 1
Foligno
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)